Happy New Year 2013

I thought I’d follow tradition and make a few predictions for the new year. Here are a couple of things I see happening.

We are all seeing the tremendous flood of articles, programs and books about the Church of Scientology that have come out or will be out shortly. This is quite wonderful — the truth is finally rather broadly and clearly exposed for all to see. It really seems like all the stops are off. While some timid publishing houses are caving to the church’s empty threats, the rest pay the church no mind at all. While I think it’s kind of funny how all the abuses and crimes of the Church of Scientology are now new news when so many people have been screaming about them for decades, still the attention and exposure is all good.

There will be much more coverage this year, including newspaper exposés, more books, more TV reports — and I fully expect the “Corrupt Cult of Scientology” will become a part of TV’s standard plot devices this year.

Nothing issued from the Church of Scientology is getting much coverage. Their “responses” are tired, lame and predictable — filled with all the usual false accusations, lies and disgusting, discreditable extracts from confidential confessional folders.

As a matter of fact, have you noticed that the Church of Scientology really doesn’t seem to be working very hard on their responses? They seem to be going through the rote procedures, sending their standard ton of paperwork, without putting much effort into it. I’ve noticed a trend there. Where the only time they do seem to get energetic is when David Miscavige has been personally accused of crimes and abuses. When it looks to reflect badly on Miscavige, the responses from the church are vicious and ugly. When just the church is accused, the response is more pro-forma without much effort behind it.

Interesting.

I’m sure this trend will continue. I think Miscavige has pretty much given up on “protecting the Church of Scientology”. I think all he cares about is “protecting the image of David Miscavige”. Mind you, he isn’t having much luck with that, but that does seem to be his only real concern.

On a related note, I’ve seen a trend in “Ideal Orgs”. First, that fund-raising engine has lost all its steam. Miscavige has taken just about every penny that Scientologists can beg, borrow or steal and there just ain’t no more. The Ideal Org scam has ground to a virtual halt with many of their “new buildings” sitting vacant, idle and slowly decomposing.

Now, you might think this trend will continue to grow worse and worse — but here is what I see. These abandoned and neglected “Ideal Orgs” will damage Miscavige’s image. He loves to show himself in front of these new buildings at every one of his Big Bogus Events, six times a year. Without that, what does he have to show “unprecedented expansion”?

These events will force Miscavige to open up Scientology’s bank account to prop up the failing orgs and complete some of these failed “Ideal Orgs”. That’s my prediction — probably no more orgs will close and some new Ideal Orgs will open, but only because Miscavige provides the funds from Scientology’s reserves (which he thinks of as “his” money). This will accelerate the inevitable collapse of the church, but Scientology’s façade must be propped up at all costs to protect Miscavige’s image.

While I am tempted to use the same logic to assume that Miscavige will release money to complete and then open the “Super Power building”, I really don’t see that happening. I predict it won’t open this year — or ever. Here is my reasoning: First, he can’t afford it. It will take tons and tons of money to create all that specialized equipment. In addition, just running the building for one day would bankrupt Flag. More, the insurance, permits, et.al. for all those bizarre machines would be exorbitant.

But the main reason Miscavige won’t open the Super Power Building is this: As long as it remains “under construction”, he can continue to exhort money from all the true believers to “complete the Super Power building”. However, if he opened it, that money flow will stop. But what’s worse, from his point of view, is that he’d then have to start delivering the promised services to hundreds of people who have already paid for it. This will cost Miscavige another huge fortune. Given all these negatives, why would he ever open it?

Beyond these simple predictions, I’m sure we will see more exposés, more whistle-blowers, more people leaving and, just maybe, more Scientology organizations declaring “independence” from the church.

As for the “Indie” movement, I’m already seeing that fall apart. I expect more of that in the coming year. Without the ability to “declare people suppressive” and force them out of Scientology, there is no power to enforce agreement and compliance. As time goes on, there will just be more and more disagreements.

The problem with independent Scientology is, ultimately, the same problem with the original Scientology: It doesn’t deliver what is promised — it can’t. It will continue to decline, just as the church will continue to decline.

Advertisements
This entry was posted in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink.

31 Responses to Happy New Year 2013

  1. EnthralledObserver says:

    Hello… just discovered your blog and am finding the posts very interesting and well constructed. I’m finding it difficult to diagree with most, if not all that you say. You make a lot of sense. I am not, and have never had a connection to Scientology, just found this intriguing topic on the internet by following the breadcrumbs from the TomKat divorce. It’s all very riveting and exciting, so I hope you won’t mind if I add your blog to my ‘favourites’ bar for daily scrutiny.. and if I feel so moved, I’ll add an opinion or two from time to time.
    Cheers… EnthralledObserver

  2. Sid says:

    I agree with your assessments.

    The Independent movement really seems to be going nowhere, it seems beset with internal arguing. The only thing that can keep a group of leader-less Scientologists together is a new strong leader – they seem to really need it, without it there is too much contradiction in Hubbard’s writings, too much room for arguing, and too much space to fully wake-up to Scientology lies. A strong leader would be able to snuff out any dissension using well-worn LRH policy, and get rid of any potential rivals – oops, see what I did there? I reinvented Miscavige….Doh! Maybe he really was inevitable. However, it’s interesting to see that all these Independents who keep telling us how wonderful the tech is, can’t use their skills to create a meaningful group.

    Rathbun has sensibly avoided becoming their new leader – I really hope he sticks to that plan because the last thing Scientology needs is another Miscavige. But, although auditing a steady stream of leavers could keep him in business for many years to come, how will he respond as the Independent movement continues to dwindle? The concept was his brain-child, and it’s going nowhere.

    SuperPower is just a complete embarrassment for the church of Scientology and also for the subject of Scientology itself. I believe that its location (opposite the Fort Harrison) was first announced in 1993 – that’s twenty years ago! So this amazing Church and this amazingly competent group of people can’t get this thing built and opened in twenty years?!?!? Some would even say the real length is more like thirty years, since that’s when Hubbard announced it.

    Okay, so we know it has been micro-managed to death by Miscavige. But where is the hue and cry from Scientologists? It’s yet another example of Scientologists being the most amazing sheep-like creatures who are unable to question anything.

    In a sense, it’s hard to imagine that yet another year will go by without SuperPower opening, especially since certain announcements were made about it opening in 2012. However, astonishingly, I think you’re probably correct.

    But here’s the question we always start the year with….will Miscavige still be in power come 2014? This year looks set to break records for number of critical books, number of news items, number of documentaries, number of requests for interview. Can he withstand this barrage of criticism? Can his ego hold as he is pilloried throughout the media? Could this be the year he reaches breaking point?

    What about Mr Cruise? Does Tom still treat Dave as his BFF? Could this be the year that with unprecedented media scrutiny Tom watches a news item, or a documentary, or reads a book, or even (heaven forbid) visits a website? Will he engage in a little introspection – another marriage has failed…why, Tom? Why???

  3. Reader says:

    Why do we care if the indie movement does or does not have a leader? If scientology fundamentally cannot deliver real clears or OTs, then indie is just spinning its wheels, with or without leadership, and will burn out. It will probably burn out faster than scientology corporate since it has no sustaining capital or revenue.

    I am not so sure if scientology corporate will burn out so fast. After the income from donations, books, and services starts dwindling (as it is currently), there are the coffers and secret bank accounts that will be used to sustain scientology for a while. Real estate is starting to pickup, and scientology corporate has amassed a lot of real estate. It could sustain itself through rentals and sale for a long time. Also, its financial holdings could provide it with indefinite income stream.

    The only series of events that will bring a rapid collapse of scientology corporate is growing successful law suits against scientology for such things as fraud and deception, malpractice or unlicensed practices, kidnapping and holding of employees against their will, and deaths of is prisoners. We are seeing this gain momentum, but not enough yet.

    The current leader of scientology will continue to keep a tight grip and control over scientology for as long as possible. There is no one else that can or will take over because all possible candidates have been eliminated. The leader has secured himself a golden parachute that will enable him to continue to live a lifestyle of the rich and famous and free of legal threats and outside of USA. Like any corporation going through bankruptcy, the employees and the followers will experience the greatest financial and personal loss. Many will commit suicide in the end.

    • justbill001 says:

      I think you’ve summarized the financial situation of the church rather well. I believe that, at some point, Miscavige is going to realize that the jig is up — that the potential for his arrest and very likely conviction for his crimes has gotten significantly high. He’ll run and he’ll stop propping up Scientology with “his” money. At that point, just about all the “orgs” will fail. But he will continue to claim that he is the leader, will continue to demand obedience — and some will continue to follow him in his exile. In that sense, the “official Church of Scientology” will continue in some third world country as long as Miscavige lives.

      I certainly hope you are wrong about the suicides. That would be very bad.

      Bill

    • Anonymous says:

      Wow, I think this is so criminal. I cannot believe that this so-called church has even gone this far. All this crap I read about the reactive mind, engrams, enthrals, auditing- paying for confessions (lol, Catholic’s do it for free!), the crimes and how these Hollywood celebrities are completely duped is sad and hilarious at the same time! Tom Cruise and his cohorts are probably the only reason why this ‘church’ even exists still, as they can pay all this money (might as well have burned it, at least it would’ve produced heat) to climb up to become closer to the top and have this messed up status symbol which only shows that they can’t think for themselves. Not to mention how they look absolutely stupid with the public having a decent idea of what kind of money they have spent to get to where they are in the ‘church’, so leaving is almost impossible (especially as Tom as their #2) cuz their public image would never recover. I mean, they already look dumb being involved so how will they look admitting what they have probably known deep inside this whole time. They almost can’t leave. The only way face can be saved is if the ‘church’ completely fell, and Scientology disappears.
      To all of the victims, I am so sorry that this has been a terrible reality for them and I am not laughing at them. Cults have always suckered people in and always will for a wide variety of reasons- lies, manipulation, and propaganda.

    • Tammy says:

      I also just want to say that I have always been interested in debunking cults and that I am happy that this one is finally on it’s knees. I have studied world religions, the occult and cults (ancient to present day) in university as well as on my own time. I guess Scientology has slipped through the cracks because of such high profile members being a part of the ‘church’, I never imagined until I came across Bill’s websites and my interest building from watching Nip/Tuck on Netflix (of all places) just how screwed up this cult is and the damage it has done to real life people. To the mass public, it has hidden behind the images of Lisa-Marie Presley, Tom Cruise and Katie Holmes (no longer Katie) and other celebrities- making it seem perhaps silly and benign. However, after reading these things over the past couple of days, I’ve seen how truly dangerous this cult actually is.
      Thank you Bill for this information and all of the people who contribute with their comments.

  4. overall10 says:

    Hmmm. It does feel like critical mass is being reached. But I hope not until my book comes out. With any luck it will be triple dog dare devastating. I’ll write you privately if that is okay.

    • trustmeonthisone says:

      Better type quickly. 😉

      To Bill:
      I just wandered in here, and I wanted to mention that your TV prediction is already coming true. Venture Brothers (on Comedy Central) released a trailer with an evil LRon robot, and, even better, on General Hospital they have a Miscavige Hospital for the Criminally Insane where one of their nutter characters lives!

      I’m enjoying your writing. Keep up the good work!

      • justbill001 says:

        Thanks! I had to laugh at your “Better type quickly”. That how it felt when I was writing my predictions. It’s hard to predict when stuff it coming true so quickly.

        Bill

  5. Strelnikov says:

    Just writing to say that NOTHING has happened to San Diego Scientology in the last half year, which means that 2013 is possibly the year of the Great Collapse for this outlet of Scientology. They have no missions any more, no Appplied Scholastics nor Delphi Academies, no sign of any work on the Coleman College ruins on Parkway Dr. in La Mesa. It’s a giant goose-egg.

    • justbill001 says:

      Good old San Diego. If there is a wrong way to do it, they’ll find it. Their “President” (their OSA guy) was the reason Paul Haggis woke up.

      I actually visited the Coleman College ruins a while ago. It’s a disaster. One of the most important criteria for a CoS location is “walk by traffic”. Seriously, no one walks in that neighborhood and drive by is virtually zero (unless you count the freeway — LOL!). The location and the buildings could not have been a worse choice. So they chose it!

      They rejected a 15 million dollar office building gift right in downtown San Diego for the Coleman College disaster.

      Seriously, San Diego, destroying Scientology, one bad decision after another.

      Bill

  6. overall10 says:

    I visit Marty’s blog often and I have to say, it seems to be a very vital forum. Venting and critical thinking happen. Knowledge is exchanged. And occasionally a Scientologist talks about the auditing he/she is doing or training they are delivering. I think it is a good thing that the movement is not unified.

    • justbill001 says:

      I agree that it’s a good thing Scientology is becoming fragmented. It means that people are starting to think for themselves and observe. This is unusual for Scientology and has a small number of True Believers quite upset.

      For a long time, Scientology has been a agree-and-comply-or-else system. That’s why I pretty much stopped reading Marty’s blog. It’s boring when all they do is parrot “You are so right! That LRH quote is so insightful! Blah blah blah.”

      But, as you pointed out, lately it has become a bit more interesting. Marty has started trying to wake the Indies up — ironically using LRH quotes to refute other statements from LRH. I have to laugh because many of the comments are right along the line of “You are so right! That LRH quote is so insightful!” LOL!

      To his credit, Marty is allowing much more disagreement and discussion on his blog. That’s all to the good.

      Bill

  7. Conned No More says:

    The Indie movement does indeed seem to be fragmenting. To me, it’s a wonder it still exists at all. But I suppose it will continue its fragmented existence until finally, FINALLY it’s ragtag members realize there are NO Clears and NO OTs and never have been.

    • Larry says:

      Some will never come to realize this. It’s not in their cards. It’s life and death for them. Though not many I imagine. Statistically (and historically) Scientologys greatest and most reliable long term product is ex-scientologists. Sad though to be one of the few, proud, broken ones left. Those for example that would end up serving David Miscaviage, at the threat of losing their eternity, in a third world country that is all but removed from the world and its view. As suggested as a possibility above by ‘Reader’.

  8. overall10 says:

    @Conned No More. Let’s say a Clear and/or an OT are never made, which is terrible since that’s what the Bridge is all about. But let’s say someone was cured of their bursitis; someone else learned how to study; someone else was cured of their drug addiction; someone else learned how to be a better parent; someone else learned how to listen and so on. Take away the promises for specific abilities gained and there is something there that is IMHO worthwhile. I still scratch my head over it because of the deceipt and lies but can not totally dismiss it either.

    • justbill001 says:

      @overall10. I understand. Scientology makes a lot of claims and loves to publish stories about wonderful “cures” and “gains” but that isn’t trustworthy. Not only does Scientology not prove any of its claims but it works very, very hard to ensure that no scientific testing of their claims can ever be done.

      People who make grandiose claims but don’t provide proof and work hard to keep anyone else from testing their claims have a name — con artists.

      If you take all Scientology’s unproven claims and unsubstantiated stories of “cures” and “gains” and threw them out, you’d have nothing left at all. I think that makes it a bit easier to dismiss Scientology for what it is — a con game.

      Bill

  9. overall10 says:

    @Just Bill Marty’s tone has changed. He’s gone from “attack the little worm” to here’s some Tech, let’s talk about it. It is refreshing. I think he went Zen on us and I am glad of that.

  10. David J Mudkips says:

    Bill

    Regular reader, getting caught up.

    I find your comment about Orgs being propped up under orders from Miscavige to be fascinating because, as far as I can tell, it’s already going on. The cult’s London HQ has been declared an “IAS-Sponsored Ideal Org”; What can that mean, except that cult slush fund dollars are being pumped in to keep it afloat? There’s certainly no way in hell that place is paying for itself… Certain sources suggest that students from Saint Hill are bussed in at weekends to do courses there, in order to prop up the stats…

    I’ve been fascinated for ages by the question of whether DM is a “true believer”; Whether he’s started believing his own hype, like Ron did before him, and is willing to “go down with the ship”. The slew of defections tells me he’s not, and he won’t, but your projection that he might start burning the reserves to prop up his own ego is a fascinating one, and I certainly hope that comes to pass.

  11. overall10 says:

    Bill, I agree the claims are grandiose. But I also know people who have been helped by SCN. One is a teenage girl who was skipping school and using drugs who went into a Mission and asked for help. Someone did a repetitive process on her. I believe it was “What is right about doing drugs?” She had a cognition, left and never did drugs again. I could give you other stories. I know another man who was a nasty alcohol–would beat his wife and children. He got help from SCN, gave up drinking and no longer physically abuses his family. I also know of lives that have been ruined. That is conundrum. Lots of grandioseness, some successes and some ruined lives as well.

    • justbill001 says:

      @overall10. Yes, I know of people who have experienced good things from some Scientology. I would hate for all of Scientology to be completely thrown out without further study and evaluation. There might be some useful stuff there or, perhaps, something useful might be developed from those ideas.

      However, as someone wiser than me once said, “What is good in Scientology is not unique to Scientology — and what is unique to Scientology is not good.”

      It is good that some Scientology counselling has helped some people. If that was all there was to it, I’d be 100% in favor of Scientology. But we all know that isn’t all there is to it. There is a lot of evil.

      One significant evil is that Scientology claims to be a “solution to drugs” and actively works to turn people away from actual, proven solutions to their “solution” (which, despite some successes, has a really abysmal record). They work hard to turn people away from proven methods to their unworkable method just so they can convert them to Scientology. Now that is evil.

      So, coupled with some good results comes a whole lot of evil. Is it worth it? Especially since, what good Scientology does accomplish, can be accomplished elsewhere — usually without the evil attached.

      If Scientology only helped people, didn’t work to destroy better programs, didn’t work to trap people, didn’t work to destroy critic’s lives, didn’t work to extract every single penny from people — then it would be OK.

      But the way it is now, what little good it does isn’t worth all the evil that comes with it.

      Bill

  12. overall10 says:

    Hi Bill, Thank you for your thoughtful answer. I loved this part: “What is good in Scientology is not unique to Scientology — and what is unique to Scientology is not good.” Very pithy.
    I have a slightly different take, which is that almost any part of the Tech has elements of both something constructive and something destructive.
    Even something so simple as looking up your words is an example. The discipline of looking up your words is a good thing, then he ruined it by adding force and duress and the tedium of stat and graph keeping.
    Auditing is a good thing if you have the money to pay for it and your auditor is a good one and if you are being audited on the right program. But then LRH ruined that by adding force and duress.
    The dynamics is a useful concept until you add the concept of the “greatest good” which is really code for whatever is best for Scientology and so one.
    Perhaps he just liked creating Effects and was indifferent to whether they were good or bad which would make him a pretty messed up guy. Just thinking outloud. Thank you for listening.

  13. LAM says:

    What a remarkable and refreshing conversation to read. Great insights. Powerful prose. 2014 promises to be an Oscar winning worthy theater for a Scientology worldwide reckoning of more than one sort or kind. The wheels are already turning. Grinding, slowly but surely.
    Great blog Bill (et al).

  14. overall10 says:

    Hi Just Bill, I am wondering what you think about “Going Clear” by Lawrence Wright. His view of LRH is that he was trying to solve his own case. He was committed to the process. He thinks if he was just a con man he would have taken the money and run. But he didn’t do that. Your thoughts.

    • justbill001 says:

      I don’t think anyone can know for sure what went on in Hubbard’s mind. I’m pretty sure Hubbard was aware he was running a con in the early days. I am equally sure that, by the end of his life, Hubbard had become a believer of his own lies. In his final days, he was still auditing himself, desperately trying to achieve “Clear” and “OT”.

      The irony is appropriate. One could feel sorry for the poor man, if he hadn’t ruined so many, many lives.

      Bill

  15. Hi Bill!
    Love your blogs. Welcome to your new site!
    With two books about Scientology abuses on the current NYT bestseller list, the media tornado of 2013 is off to an incredible start. Years of stifled commentaries and intimidation of these outlets have left repressed reporters waiting to have their say – and they are! Google “Scientology News” – and you won’t see any Scientology sponsored websites on the first page anymore.

    So 2013 has begun as the year worldwide media strips away the Scientology shield of lies. I hope you’re all enjoying the show! Scientology PR – what a joke. As far as the general public is concerned, the word Scientology is synonymous with “cult”, “bizarre”, “brainwashing”, “child abuse”, “criminal”, “mafia” and “scam”. It’s a nice bonus to see our protest pix and interviews incorporated into these articles, too. No efforts wasted and no lack of background material, either.

    Love your work, Bill. Keep it up – you make me smile. I hope 2013 is the biggest shitstorm year ever – and still hope to see DM jailed by the end of it.

  16. jay says:

    I think you’re writing is really well well put. You communicate to people who don’t know anything about Scifiology but also people who might be members and looking for the truth about it. I’m not a member of Anonymous or any other group, and never will be, because I don’t like their style and bizarre behaviour, But I do despise Scifiology and know it will implode on itself very soon. If you need any contributory help on your articles please let me know, I was on staff for years.

    • justbill001 says:

      Thanks! I appreciate the feedback.

      Yes, some people who say they are “Anonymous” do behave rather strangely. However, if Anonymous had membership, I’d be proud to be associated with most of those who participate in Anonymous protests and their other actions. The thing with Anonymous is that anyone can claim to “be Anonymous” and then can do anything.

      We know that OSA (Scientology’s secret police) do call themselves “Anonymous” and do ugly and even illegal things just to give “Anonymous” a bad name. Much of what you hear in that vein is probably OSA, but not all of it. Some bad behavior is just people with bad judgement.

      On the other hand, there are many, many good people who consider themselves part of Anonymous. The Scientology protests were amazing for good people, who had no personal reason for protesting, coming out and protesting because it simply was the right thing to do. I admire that greatly.

      I appreciate the offer of help. I occasionally get a question I cannot answer and always appreciate those who can provide more information.

      Bill

Leave a Reply. It will be moderated.

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s