I thought I’d follow tradition and make a few predictions for the new year. Here are a couple of things I see happening.
We are all seeing the tremendous flood of articles, programs and books about the Church of Scientology that have come out or will be out shortly. This is quite wonderful — the truth is finally rather broadly and clearly exposed for all to see. It really seems like all the stops are off. While some timid publishing houses are caving to the church’s empty threats, the rest pay the church no mind at all. While I think it’s kind of funny how all the abuses and crimes of the Church of Scientology are now new news when so many people have been screaming about them for decades, still the attention and exposure is all good.
There will be much more coverage this year, including newspaper exposés, more books, more TV reports — and I fully expect the “Corrupt Cult of Scientology” will become a part of TV’s standard plot devices this year.
Nothing issued from the Church of Scientology is getting much coverage. Their “responses” are tired, lame and predictable — filled with all the usual false accusations, lies and disgusting, discreditable extracts from confidential confessional folders.
As a matter of fact, have you noticed that the Church of Scientology really doesn’t seem to be working very hard on their responses? They seem to be going through the rote procedures, sending their standard ton of paperwork, without putting much effort into it. I’ve noticed a trend there. Where the only time they do seem to get energetic is when David Miscavige has been personally accused of crimes and abuses. When it looks to reflect badly on Miscavige, the responses from the church are vicious and ugly. When just the church is accused, the response is more pro-forma without much effort behind it.
I’m sure this trend will continue. I think Miscavige has pretty much given up on “protecting the Church of Scientology”. I think all he cares about is “protecting the image of David Miscavige”. Mind you, he isn’t having much luck with that, but that does seem to be his only real concern.
On a related note, I’ve seen a trend in “Ideal Orgs”. First, that fund-raising engine has lost all its steam. Miscavige has taken just about every penny that Scientologists can beg, borrow or steal and there just ain’t no more. The Ideal Org scam has ground to a virtual halt with many of their “new buildings” sitting vacant, idle and slowly decomposing.
Now, you might think this trend will continue to grow worse and worse — but here is what I see. These abandoned and neglected “Ideal Orgs” will damage Miscavige’s image. He loves to show himself in front of these new buildings at every one of his Big Bogus Events, six times a year. Without that, what does he have to show “unprecedented expansion”?
These events will force Miscavige to open up Scientology’s bank account to prop up the failing orgs and complete some of these failed “Ideal Orgs”. That’s my prediction — probably no more orgs will close and some new Ideal Orgs will open, but only because Miscavige provides the funds from Scientology’s reserves (which he thinks of as “his” money). This will accelerate the inevitable collapse of the church, but Scientology’s façade must be propped up at all costs to protect Miscavige’s image.
While I am tempted to use the same logic to assume that Miscavige will release money to complete and then open the “Super Power building”, I really don’t see that happening. I predict it won’t open this year — or ever. Here is my reasoning: First, he can’t afford it. It will take tons and tons of money to create all that specialized equipment. In addition, just running the building for one day would bankrupt Flag. More, the insurance, permits, et.al. for all those bizarre machines would be exorbitant.
But the main reason Miscavige won’t open the Super Power Building is this: As long as it remains “under construction”, he can continue to exhort money from all the true believers to “complete the Super Power building”. However, if he opened it, that money flow will stop. But what’s worse, from his point of view, is that he’d then have to start delivering the promised services to hundreds of people who have already paid for it. This will cost Miscavige another huge fortune. Given all these negatives, why would he ever open it?
Beyond these simple predictions, I’m sure we will see more exposés, more whistle-blowers, more people leaving and, just maybe, more Scientology organizations declaring “independence” from the church.
As for the “Indie” movement, I’m already seeing that fall apart. I expect more of that in the coming year. Without the ability to “declare people suppressive” and force them out of Scientology, there is no power to enforce agreement and compliance. As time goes on, there will just be more and more disagreements.
The problem with independent Scientology is, ultimately, the same problem with the original Scientology: It doesn’t deliver what is promised — it can’t. It will continue to decline, just as the church will continue to decline.